Thursday, October 29, 2015

The truth about Casino

How many times have you seen / have you heard / watched stories about a person entering the casino hoping to earn a significant amount of money to be used for the purposes poignant - Third World immigration western country, life-saving medical care, etc.? I doubt these stories and let people entering the casino do so for pleasure (even if it stems from an addiction), but whatever other motives may be, the strong desire of all players earn can not argue. How to Win in the house? What is the best strategy? Why is meant by "best strategy"? Let's try to analyze the roulette betting.
Bible betting Roulette is a book already named is the type of recommendation: "How to gamble if you must" (How to Gamble if You Must) written by Dobbins (Dubbins) and Savage (Savage). If Htlhbtm name and you're going to buy it Before you go, next to Las Vegas, let me recommend you relax and give up the plan of the book extremely complicated even for graduates in mathematics. * expenditure must have realized this, and in order not to mislead readers renamed failing to egalitarian for stochastic processes " While the original name was pushed lower case. In any case, the keywords are, of course, if you the must. After all, the truth is well known gambling are additional taxes on those who do not know math. Probably every reader clearly not the case entrepreneurs to set up casinos, flying to individuals , feeding them gourmet delicacies and organize their shows are expensive. Is all that they are doing just to innocent civilians will earn money? Probably not.
And if we do have

Imagine someone $ 4 in his pocket, and he must reach 10 dollars (if you have a heart-rending story frame so early in the evening were a man ten thousand dollars, and he lost everything, except for 4. 10 dollars per trip are home). In other words, he did not retire from the game so that he will have $ 10, unless he lost all his money and then forced to walk home in the freezing cold and pouring rain. And now he stands before the roulette table to try his luck. How he should play?
Surprisingly, I can explain intuitively optimal strategy will maximize your chances of getting $ 10. To simplify the explanation, I will present briefly a simple problem, that sheds light on solving the problem of roulette.

Suppose now that I was going to play in front of Michael Jordan throws the ball to the basket. While writing both not active players in the NBA so we have plenty of time. Confident of victory, Jordan offers some consequence I choose to play. What would you suggest? I hope the answer is clear. The best solution for me is the sudden cancellation of the declaration of confrontation and stalemate. Second best solution is to play until the result of just one point. The great miracle can happen, I'll throw and the ball will do me a favor and landed in the basket, and Michael Jordan throws and not being caught (happens to the best families). In this case I write in my bio that I was the only columnist who won the basketball Michael Jordan. If, however, play against up to two or three points, the chances would win becomes depressingly low, and if the game will continue beyond that absolutely clear who will win. There is even a law of probability theory says (to quote him roughly) the long-term is expected to be found. When the game is one point I could at least fantasize about being able to win the Michael Jordan (or Michael Jordan).
Back to the casino. Anyone who has ever approached the roulette table noticed that among all the numbers have also zeros, they-they tilt the balance in favor of the casino and make the game to non equal ". That is, in qualitative terms the game against the casino rather like a game against Michael Jordan. The casino is a better player if any player can see it, and therefore you should bet several times as small as possible.
Indeed, one can mathematically prove entirely accurate best strategy, it will maximize the chances of reaching 4 dollars to 10 dollars, is to put all the money on any color; And I will explain. You have four dollars? Put four of them, for example the color red.
You may, of course, point to it Himrtm not the fate, then simply go home on foot. But if the color which won our bet, we gained four, and we have now eight dollars. When eight dollars there's no reason to put them fully, because we want to reach the total, $ 10, and we can bet only on the amount after a victory will put us 2 dollars. That is, the optimal strategy, called the book "a bold game," that is, the optimal strategy is to put or all the money, or as much as needed, to reach 10 dollars. This strategy seems a little strange that most people think, "Maybe you should put a dollar, and dollar again, maybe two." No. "Game bold" is the best reason I said: When a good player you need to play at least a few less games.

If, however, your goal is quality time inside the casino glorious, bold game is a very good idea. In this case it may send you back home already after the first round of roulette. If Hftztm spending long, then my recommendation is "cautious game" - betting on a dollar every single round. This method is not strategic brilliance, but the most effective waste time and money.
The differences between the existing cautiously daring game, of course, many different areas of life, not just on the roulette table. You can even think about the Iranian nuclear issue as a case study interesting. And against this background that one can conclude with a statement by the British statesman of the 19th century, Benjamin Disraeli: You can not cross an abyss in two small jumps.